Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 15.117215 17.297209 19.613762 22.251525 25.164394 28.275382 31.841689
2024-12-29 12.357581 15.240279 18.481318 22.370727 26.885807 31.936256 37.985760
2025-01-05 10.333651 13.592567 17.435939 22.252691 28.074236 34.828082 43.197328
2025-01-12 9.000987 12.529408 16.866738 22.506570 29.555494 37.981005 48.710984
2025-01-19 7.931681 11.630388 16.351404 22.695059 30.860199 40.874513 53.928090
2025-01-26 7.238877 11.119755 16.240967 23.321805 32.668415 44.384302 59.956095
2025-02-02 6.593871 10.588998 16.029594 23.754978 34.191457 47.535202 65.584161
2025-02-09 5.903977 9.913029 15.546004 23.755783 35.097966 49.877107 70.202452
2025-02-16 5.036119 8.879959 14.467579 22.841868 34.688808 50.434767 72.465993
2025-02-23 4.470853 8.241922 13.894048 22.577421 35.119315 52.077944 76.159816
2025-03-02 3.912862 7.553413 13.183756 22.053006 35.131972 53.120286 79.038495
2025-03-09 3.501140 7.057935 12.721741 21.851354 35.570493 54.730553 82.698136
2025-03-16 3.074684 6.495246 12.114855 21.395825 35.619573 55.801711 85.657077
2025-03-23 2.816860 6.199355 11.908786 21.535977 36.538231 58.110189 90.378825
2025-03-30 2.540860 5.838980 11.565669 21.431396 37.069745 59.862330 94.342201
2025-04-06 2.354917 5.626675 11.452842 21.681853 38.139657 62.409747 99.482737
2025-04-13 2.175948 5.407464 11.309075 21.866479 39.102928 64.813589 104.458194
2025-04-20 2.077035 5.337675 11.421013 22.475668 40.744768 68.254520 111.002675
2025-04-27 1.958490 5.214042 11.425005 22.896582 42.093293 71.280614 116.994361
2025-05-04 1.793625 4.972827 11.194202 22.897477 42.757766 73.280248 121.503818
2025-05-11 1.536060 4.494360 10.479821 22.010108 41.931754 72.971288 122.557525
2025-05-18 1.378264 4.220779 10.134781 21.753387 42.125215 74.221918 125.957728
2025-05-25 1.210201 3.898900 9.667279 21.244317 41.867598 74.750298 128.260175